Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008557 0.009646 0.010839 0.012249 0.013871 0.015684 0.017871
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006905 0.008392 0.010169 0.012464 0.015367 0.018947 0.023738
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005914 0.007547 0.009611 0.012439 0.016257 0.021293 0.028545
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005030 0.006663 0.008817 0.011910 0.016303 0.022421 0.031775
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004509 0.006170 0.008446 0.011851 0.016911 0.024317 0.036276
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004279 0.006037 0.008534 0.012418 0.018452 0.027717 0.043517
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003816 0.005514 0.007996 0.011980 0.018393 0.028632 0.046895
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003456 0.005105 0.007579 0.011667 0.018468 0.029734 0.050705
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003222 0.004862 0.007386 0.011676 0.019052 0.031729 0.056363
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003126 0.004823 0.007502 0.012196 0.020548 0.035473 0.065846
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002918 0.004585 0.007275 0.012106 0.020952 0.037291 0.071881
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002771 0.004433 0.007174 0.012218 0.021726 0.039884 0.079905
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002565 0.004172 0.006877 0.011972 0.021846 0.041310 0.085912
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002451 0.004062 0.006834 0.012192 0.022897 0.044772 0.097166
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002313 0.003895 0.006673 0.012167 0.023453 0.047278 0.106703
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002117 0.003613 0.006279 0.011651 0.022934 0.047389 0.110441
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002003 0.003467 0.006125 0.011593 0.023371 0.049680 0.120153
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001976 0.003480 0.006268 0.012147 0.025200 0.055439 0.140308
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001832 0.003263 0.005953 0.011720 0.024785 0.055803 0.145661
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001714 0.003088 0.005706 0.011414 0.024613 0.056738 0.152877
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001640 0.002993 0.005610 0.011423 0.025179 0.059621 0.166589
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001623 0.003007 0.005735 0.011931 0.027007 0.066080 0.193114
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001548 0.002899 0.005601 0.011842 0.027352 0.068613 0.207552